The emotions of investing
‘๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ซ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ค๐ง’๐จ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐๐ก๐๐ข - ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฃ ๐๐๐จ ๐ฌ๐ค๐ง๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ข๐ฎ - ๐๐จ ๐ก๐๐ ๐๐ก๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ ๐๐๐ข๐จ๐๐ก๐’ - ๐๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ซ๐ข๐ฎ๐ช๐ฏ ๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฉ๐ข๐ฎ (๐๐ณ๐ข๐ฉ๐ข๐ฎ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ฅ, 1996)
Humans make poor investors. The ‘X’ (or reflexive, rather than ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ) system is an ancient part of the brain responsible for processing risk and fear, which plays a key role in motivation and reward-seeking behavior, and importantly in our aversion to risk. Useful when next to a lion rustling in the bush - less so when applied to making sensible long term investing decisions. ๐ฆ
โผ๏ธResearch by Morningstar shows a 'behaviour gap' of 1.1% per year in the US - around 15% of the overall growth seen in the 10 year period studied. Dalbar find similar results over the past 20 years.โผ๏ธ
Sometimes, the best investment decision is doing nothing at all.
๐๐ถ๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ’๐ด ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฅ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ธ๐ด...
Vanguard suggest that financial planners can add around 3% per year in net value – with half of that coming from behavioural coaching (this broadly aligns with the figures presented above).
Sound advice can help close the gap between investor returns and investment returns.
๐๐ฐ๐ถ๐ณ๐ค๐ฆ๐ด: ๐๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ๐ด๐ต๐ข๐ณ'๐ด ๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ฑ (2024), ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ฃ๐ข๐ณ ๐๐๐๐ 2025 ๐๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต, ๐๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ถ๐ข๐ณ๐ฅ ๐๐ฅ๐ท๐ช๐ด๐ฆ๐ณ'๐ด ๐๐ญ๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ข (๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฆ 2020)
Humans make poor investors...